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Covid19 and the delusion of saving a failed economy

It makes no sense.

The assertion to save economies with a blatant and extremely forceful enemy Covid-19, that will surely and aggressively spread if cities are open, makes no sense.

In 2008 only one sector (housing) of the financial system failed which nearly crumbled the US economy.

Today all sectors of the Financial system are affected or failing due to Covid-19. Perhaps the developed countries may buy out their way from this crisis but poor nations need to think hard of their plans realistically.

Indeed the assertion that people especially in a developing country cannot be left in a lock down and die of hunger is true.

But what does not make sense is the blind spot to the impending grave consequences if these densely populated cities are open.

Economies survive on few facets that have to work in conjunctions to create an harmonious ecosystem. The manufacturers, distributors and retailers bring products to consumers. While the financial, transportation and utility sectors support this infrastructure on shoulders of labor class and industry owners.

If any one of these facets breakdown the system collapses. All of them are broken already.

If opening the cities to save economy and prevent people from starving is some deluded assumption by powers to be then this logic begs the questions – where will they find consumers to discharge their share of consumption?

If there is no doubt that the Covid-19 will spread and infect more people in a soft or partial lock down, will this affect and its impact not effect the the human element, the consumers and laborers?

How is it possible that when more people are infected will lead to more people being interested in getting further infections?

Perhaps hunger may drive people? Yes, but only a selective lower class of daily wages sector will take this risks but the consumers of these services are in large part general public. This general public that is now facing increasing viral threats and financial instability is unlikely to utilize the services of the daily wages workers. Thus, even if the daily wagers are ready to offer services the consumers will not be there.

Ultimately these smart lock downs, partial lock downs, soft lock downs and other lock downs or any other lock down other then absolute lock down will neither save human lives nor save economies.

The communities may enjoy a few weeks of honeymoon phase of economic movements, a deluded luxury in communities where the case load is not to high, before the surge may come of rapid rise of infections and deaths, creating a panic of unseen proportions. There maybe waves and waves of inflections and on what logic does anyone propose there is a slightest chance consumers will be excited to consume anything other then absolute necessity items and where will they get the funds from in an ailing society of financial collapse?

A strong possibility exists that opening of cities will neither save the wages of the daily workers nor their lives, but rather turn out to be a mistake that can lead to significantly increase spread, which under a true lock down would be possibly much less.

Bottom line is partial lock down with SOP is not a sustainable model and will only cause longer and stronger harm to the fragile economies and human lives.

The ground reality of a poor nation is different then that of developed nation. Using methods or models of gagging and implementing plans and ideation of the healthcare services or salvaging economy of developed nation by a poor developing nation may end up being an epic mistake for thesis of future academia. The respite enjoyed by poor nation today giving them room for ideation may soon be a nightmare, if unprepared.

It’s a bad situation all around, unfortunately. Opening lock downs or not in both scenarios the outcome is same, unless we see an act of miracle or cure.

At least those who think opening economies is a good idea, need to work very hard to leave strong reasons to mitigate the future blame of epic blunders and humiliation by hands of posterity.

The only logical thing to do now is the poor nations should start plans for unprecedented mass level of organized feeding plans for their nation for several months.

Keeping in mind there may be large population sectors that may not have access to clean water or energy to cook rice.

A new industry of organized and government supervised service need to be erected on emergency basis that distributes food and water to the nation.

Encouragement, planning and facilitating of mass migration of citizens to rural area who have ties to rural roots need to be implemented.

Local Governments especially the union counsel and its teams need to be activated and trained for distribution.

Healthcare delivery via Field Hospital system (FHS) need to be planned.

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A rapid nutrition expert team needs to research what are the most effective, readily available, distribute able and high caloric food bag need to be created and how frequent they will need to be distributed.

Such food may need to imported or locally manufactured such as peanut butter, that has low glycemic index.

This type of high fatty food that is cheap yet easily distribute able can sustain people through longer periods between meals.

Campaign to educate people on several issues would be needed, such as food consumption twice a day, how to safely dispose excretion, how to report and tackle violence, how to identify and handle Covid-19 patients without healthcare system, when to seek help, in-home child birth /delivery, etc.

Strict public punishments for manufacturers, distributors and retailers that hordes food or medicinal products.

Documentation of food in the country that is not perishable for rationing and distribution. Food industry (meat, dairy and produce) will not sustain the needs, especially with broken infrastructure and transportation distribution something that has already started in developed countries.

In the end it’s the governmental circles that actually need to create the SOP for themselves on how to manage the impeding crisis rather then telling public.